The Nail Gun Problem
I read an article recently claiming that AI will replace spreadsheets. The argument goes something like this: why wrestle with pivot tables and VLOOKUP when you can just ask AI to generate code that does the same thing, but better? It sounds reasonable. It sounds like progress. And it fundamentally misunderstands what kind of leap we’re talking about.
Going from a calculator to Excel is a meaningful increase in both power and complexity. You have to learn a new interface, internalize a new mental model, develop intuitions about what the tool can and can’t do. That’s real cognitive load, and it’s why plenty of people resist the jump.